Countries covered: Global
Automotive retailing has faced significant hurdles in the past decade around the world, and the challenges have varied by region, but for the most part, the traditional franchise dealer model has prevailed.
This exclusive report from ABOUT Automotive, sponsored by PricewaterhouseCoopers and AUTOFACTS, provides a complete guide to understanding how retail markets across the globe will change in the future and clearly identifies the sector’s key trends, showing how they are set to affect your interests in the key markets.
How will the recasting of the automotive block exemption affect European retailers?
How will Japanese retailers restructure to accommodate OEM’s continued attempts to cut costs and increase retail level productivity?
How are US retailers intending to recapture the billions of dollars surrendered to the customer as part of the intense incentive wars?
These and many other crucial industry questions are comprehensively addressed so you can make the right decisions to stay ahead of the competition.
Report coverage:
Market and branding
The global automotive industry currently spends an estimated $35 billion a year on advertising and promotion. If incentives and other opportunity costs (eg dealer-level price discounts), that figure probably exceeds $70 million. This is far more than any other industry spends, and far eclipses total industry profits. Furthermore, it is becoming clear that increases in advertising and promotion have little correlation to increases in market share at the company level. Clearly, spending more to build stronger, more profitable brands is a dubious proposition, made more so by the probable near-term slowing of demand and the increasing price pressures the markets will witness. And yet many OEMs seem unable to do anything else. How did we get here?
The Internet: attractive but elusive
The Internet has already become a deeply integrated part of the automotive industry, and will become even more important as time goes on. Auto dealer 'disintermediation' will remain the exeption rather than the rule in the three major markets, and the Internet will further accelerate the value capture capabilities of consumers by improving pricing and inventory transparencies. The benefits to OEMs will include perhaps ephemeral opportunities at CRM and more substantial opportunities to increase demand prediction accuracy, understand emerging trends and, of course, to sell cars.
Europe: regulators in the driving seat
The continued integration of the European Union is having a tremendous impact on the automotive retailing business. It seems logical that during such a period of instability players will jockey for advantage in as many ways as possible. Clearly, despite changes in the block exemption, the automotive manufacturers will remain the dominant force in the industry. Beyond the block exemption, one has to note the veritable crush of new regulations descending on the industry, and note it with increasing alarm. While most of these ideas are undoubtedly worthwhile, combined they could make motoring a decidedly expensive proposition in Europe in the very near future.
North America: the retail revolution misfires
The year 2002 marked the bitter end of many of the attempts made in the past seven years to refashion the automotive distribution landscape in the United States. From Ford’s ignominious retreat from owning dealerships to the utter defeat of many Internet-based car-buying experiments, the US auto retailing model has proven harder to “revolutionise” than most people thought. The classic franchise dealer model remains entrenched with many built-in defences, and automotive original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) apparently remain committed to spending billions on customer incentives. Not every experiment has gone awry, however. OEMs continue to test the downstream waters incrementally, for example by selling tyres and accessories through their dealer networks, capturing greater percentages of aftermarket parts sales and offering fee-based telematics services in their vehicles. But clearly, the dramatic pronouncements of a total restructuring of the retail network have not come true, and perhaps never will.
Japan: an end to the melancholy market?
Mired in a decade-long series of deep recessions, the Japanese retail automotive market appears to be stuck in low gear and remains far from the sales records set in the late 1980s, before the speculative investment bubble burst. Clearly, the retail market for new cars is being held hostage by broader forces in the Japanese economy, including the long-running bank debt crisis. Dealer profits remain poor from a historical perspective, and various attempts are being made by OEMs to restructure retail networks. Changes sweeping Europe and United States, such as the increasing influence of the Internet (the US and Europe) or the emergence of powerful dealer groups (the US), have taken longer to penetrate Japan for reasons as varied as the lower percentage of homes with personal computers to the tight hold OEMs have over their dealer relationships.
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Chapter 1: Introduction
Chapter 2: Market and branding
Introduction
How powerful is car advertising?
Product is central
Rolling the dice on the brand game board
GM ends flawed US brand management experiment
Toyota introduces new Scion youth-oriented brand in the US
Lexus and Infiniti in the US
Fascination with extreme luxury brands continues in Europe
The rise of branding centres in Europe
Japan’s massive brand theme parks
Brand-oriented events take greater prominence
Incentives case study: how to avoid the weakest player’s gambit
Chapter 3: The Internet: attractive but elusive
Introduction
North America
The Internet remains attractive within constraints
Autobytel hangs on
CarsDirect re-engineers its business model
CarPoint stretches into new services
Other developments
Europe
The Internet sparks an information revolution
Automaker experiments continue
Japan
Internet and e-commerce initiatives gathering pace
Conclusion
Chapter 4: Europe: regulators in the driver’s seat
Introduction
Block exemption
September ruling begins retailing transition
Some restrictions to be removed on Internet buying services
No forced supermarket sales
Dealers will be able to sell, or service, or do both
Market trends
US public dealers: next stop Europe?
Incentives take many forms
Europe remains overdealered
Focus on build-to-order continues
OEM-owned dealerships remain the exception
Channels are likely to remain relatively fixed, though experiments
Britain’s dealer groups continue shakeout
Conclusion
Chapter 5: North America: the retail revolution misfires
The United States
Introduction
Surprising strength post 9/11 is fuelled by incentives
Big Three market share continues to erode
Massive business system disconnect
Consolidation trends continue incrementally, with major size shifts
OEMs abandon plans to own and operate dealers
Public dealer groups survive, some thrive
AutoNation: still the biggest, but no longer a revolutionary
UnitedAuto Group: going global
Sonic Automotive: classic approach yields results
Asbury Automotive: the new kid on the public block
Cars4U: Canada’s integrated retailer
CarMax: used car success after a rough start
Experiments continue: Wal-Mart tests the used vehicle waters
Canada
A separate but changing market
Dealer population grows slightly
Chapter 6: Japan: an end to the melancholy market?
Introduction
Domestic new car sales remain sluggish
Minivehicles continue market share gains
Imports gain share
New focus on used car sales
OEMs attempt restructuring moves
New ways to connect with car buyers begin to emerge
Other market trends
List of figures
Figure 1 Vehicle attribute convergence over time
Figure 2 Model proliferation: US market
Figure 3 Advertising effectiveness: US light vehicle market 1995-1998
Figure 4 OEM product line brand game board
Figure 5 Automotive Internet leverage comparison: the Triad
Figure 6 Forces at work: the US market
Figure 7 Forces at work: profit divergence
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